Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.115087 0.127585 0.140442 0.154627 0.169808 0.185539 0.203044
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.095617 0.114386 0.134709 0.158215 0.184519 0.212916 0.245754
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.085355 0.108993 0.135714 0.167826 0.205039 0.246483 0.295799
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.077465 0.104798 0.136873 0.176687 0.224168 0.278386 0.344366
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.067575 0.096759 0.132267 0.177705 0.233343 0.298324 0.378987
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.057590 0.087339 0.124863 0.174320 0.236417 0.310479 0.404103
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.053259 0.084653 0.125418 0.180406 0.250799 0.336101 0.445416
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.048826 0.081290 0.124652 0.184455 0.262414 0.358291 0.482702
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.044433 0.077489 0.122889 0.186864 0.271718 0.377534 0.516449
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.040074 0.073271 0.120161 0.187650 0.278683 0.393729 0.546440
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.039928 0.075271 0.126096 0.200228 0.301275 0.430027 0.602091
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.036965 0.072649 0.125220 0.203271 0.311131 0.450045 0.637320
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.034083 0.070103 0.124568 0.206964 0.322481 0.472914 0.677554
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030584 0.066242 0.121757 0.207493 0.329585 0.490486 0.711472
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029704 0.066701 0.125471 0.217515 0.349969 0.525911 0.769090
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028877 0.067148 0.129124 0.227485 0.370425 0.561698 0.827617
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026204 0.063995 0.126849 0.228427 0.378009 0.580155 0.863391
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022797 0.059087 0.121400 0.224262 0.378076 0.588304 0.885485
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021850 0.058768 0.123413 0.231499 0.394609 0.619038 0.937953
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.020546 0.057599 0.123900 0.236316 0.407649 0.645095 0.984395
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.019024 0.055813 0.123203 0.239183 0.417809 0.667237 1.025745
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017335 0.053472 0.121373 0.240118 0.425041 0.685325 1.061724
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017846 0.055959 0.128168 0.255097 0.453467 0.733381 1.138950